Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.217516 0.245506 0.275153 0.308833 0.345973 0.385617 0.431073
2025-07-27 0.180780 0.218649 0.261088 0.311966 0.371082 0.437379 0.517118
2025-08-03 0.156368 0.200781 0.253021 0.318550 0.398060 0.490892 0.606919
2025-08-10 0.138926 0.188172 0.248632 0.327530 0.426893 0.546937 0.701888
2025-08-17 0.120595 0.171813 0.237272 0.325877 0.441332 0.585195 0.776317
2025-08-24 0.106263 0.158682 0.228206 0.325509 0.456250 0.623708 0.851914
2025-08-31 0.094211 0.147084 0.219698 0.324524 0.469402 0.659680 0.925012
2025-09-07 0.086418 0.140491 0.217126 0.330867 0.492045 0.708444 1.016303
2025-09-14 0.077960 0.131925 0.210812 0.331103 0.505725 0.745173 1.092382
2025-09-21 0.070694 0.124333 0.205101 0.331452 0.519076 0.781462 1.168710
2025-09-28 0.064389 0.117549 0.199903 0.331912 0.532182 0.817467 1.245502
2025-10-05 0.059661 0.112799 0.197334 0.335930 0.550370 0.861028 1.334150
2025-10-12 0.056157 0.109927 0.197735 0.344909 0.577011 0.918766 1.446773
2025-10-19 0.051730 0.105000 0.194387 0.347651 0.594124 0.963084 1.541455
2025-10-26 0.048503 0.101859 0.193687 0.354483 0.617751 1.017846 1.653358
2025-11-02 0.046050 0.099867 0.194720 0.364100 0.646074 1.080600 1.779209
2025-11-09 0.041958 0.094340 0.189149 0.362171 0.655535 1.114553 1.862350
2025-11-16 0.038502 0.089663 0.184670 0.361704 0.667151 1.152022 1.951832
2025-11-23 0.035296 0.085126 0.180049 0.360589 0.677446 1.187537 2.039156
2025-11-30 0.033434 0.083157 0.180003 0.367509 0.701469 1.245609 2.163486
2025-12-07 0.030907 0.079493 0.176435 0.367756 0.713918 1.285227 2.259535
2025-12-14 0.028620 0.076094 0.173090 0.368132 0.726467 1.325248 2.357223
2025-12-21 0.026544 0.072933 0.169949 0.368632 0.739127 1.365706 2.456617